Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.291253 0.340683 0.392931 0.451983 0.516590 0.584854 0.662166
2025-01-26 0.226713 0.294895 0.371702 0.463471 0.569001 0.685495 0.822752
2025-02-02 0.180847 0.260683 0.356126 0.475880 0.619455 0.783597 0.982979
2025-02-09 0.139070 0.223536 0.330853 0.472032 0.647949 0.855434 1.114173
2025-02-16 0.111870 0.199759 0.317934 0.480035 0.688729 0.941241 1.262798
2025-02-23 0.087125 0.174451 0.299064 0.477272 0.714010 1.007355 1.388108
2025-03-02 0.063159 0.145093 0.270284 0.457634 0.714819 1.041311 1.473211
2025-03-09 0.050552 0.130980 0.261123 0.463043 0.747302 1.114759 1.607665
2025-03-16 0.037491 0.112715 0.242961 0.453399 0.757866 1.159079 1.705145
2025-03-23 0.032109 0.107664 0.244853 0.472620 0.808088 1.255616 1.870321
2025-03-30 0.024737 0.096330 0.234692 0.472402 0.830250 1.314753 1.987538
2025-04-06 0.018971 0.086630 0.225889 0.473155 0.853090 1.374548 2.105857
2025-04-13 0.015246 0.080884 0.223796 0.484797 0.892741 1.458930 2.259378
2025-04-20 0.012573 0.077002 0.224652 0.501046 0.939421 1.553624 2.427826
2025-04-27 0.010269 0.073242 0.225204 0.516584 0.985230 1.647725 2.596626
2025-05-04 0.007200 0.065066 0.215567 0.513944 1.003047 1.702774 2.713434
2025-05-11 0.005448 0.060601 0.213051 0.523235 1.039073 1.783683 2.865876
2025-05-18 0.003592 0.053857 0.204374 0.520785 1.056392 1.837979 2.982443
2025-05-25 0.001769 0.044072 0.186638 0.500245 1.043964 1.848907 3.039204
2025-06-01 0.001118 0.040464 0.183308 0.506133 1.073654 1.920776 3.180419
2025-06-08 0.000476 0.034355 0.172138 0.495994 1.076636 1.953378 3.267146
2025-06-15 0.000342 0.033906 0.176466 0.516427 1.130282 2.060992 3.459442
2025-06-22 0.000130 0.030209 0.170720 0.516225 1.149407 2.117620 3.580628